Handicapper's Library

The Best Historical Weather Data Site for Sports Betting

The Best Historical Weather Data Site for Sports Betting
As we all know these days, data is power, to the point that it can easily be used to destroy a country or continent. That is beyond the scope of ou...

Does Weather Impact Hot Dog Eating Performance?

No serious hot dog totals handicapper would ignore the impact of weather before placing their bet. The common idea is that hot weather is tough on ...

NFL Betting Angles #5: Injuries

NFL Betting Angles #5: Injuries
Every year there are a few teams that manage an impressive injury list by late-season. This year, two examples would be the Redskins and Broncos, w...

NFL Betting Angles Fact or Fiction #6: Black Coaches

Black Coaches YoY Delta ATS Record
The "fade black coaches" angle is well-known across the internet. If you don't believe me, take a look here: https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum...

NFL Betting Angles Fact or Fiction #7: Motivation

Many bettors like to take motivation into account when making their NFL and college football plays. The most common angle involves betting on a tea...

NFL Betting Angles Fact or Fiction #9: Turnover Margin

NFL Betting Angles Fact or Fiction #9: Turnover Margin
In a big win for followers of the picks here, last week the Redskins managed to hold the Buccaneers to only three points, despite giving up 501 tot...

NFL Betting Angles Fact or Fiction - #10: Revenge

In celebration of the Chiefs covering last week, in a game I never would have bet without my "mid-season coach firing" angle, I have decided to sta...

European-Style Sportsbooks: Bad for Everyone

European-Style Sportsbooks: Bad for Everyone
European-style sportsbooks will kill the sports betting market.

Results-Oriented Thinking in NFL Handicapping

Results-Oriented Thinking in NFL Handicapping
In my past job I built econometric models for a bank. One of my bosses was not a true statistician (and neither am I) but had a great theory about ...

Do NFL Teams with the Lead Play Worse in the Second Half?

Anyone who bets NFL halftimes on a regular basis knows that teams with a big lead will be favored by slightly less than if the game is close or tie...

Running Back Injuries in NFL Handicapping

Le'Veon Bell's decision to sit out game 1 of the NFL season led to the inevitable discussion in gambling circles about the impact of running backs ...

NFL Handicapping Fundamentals

´╗┐This is an excerpt from a book I have been working on, although I'm not sure if I'm going to release it at this point. Before we get into detailed...