Gambling Books

Books to help you handicap better

Baseball Handicapping

Racial Bias in MLB Umpiring

Racial Bias in MLB Umpiring

For the time being, balls and strikes in MLB are decided by humans, who have inherent prejudices and biases. This would suggest that finding racist...
Do Homer Umps Exist?

Do Homer Umps Exist?

It is well known to any decent baseball totals gambler, or astute baseball watcher for that matter, that the interpretation of the strike zone vari...
Pitch Sequencing the Umpire, and why Inaccurate Pitchers Should Fight the Automatic Strike Zone

Pitch Sequencing the Umpire, and why Inaccurate Pitchers Should Fight the Automatic Strike Zone

In my last post I mentioned the idea the umpire's call is heavily influenced by the location of the last pitch, which sets a sort of reference fram...

Football Handicapping

NFL Betting Angles #5: Injuries

NFL Betting Angles #5: Injuries

Every year there are a few teams that manage an impressive injury list by late-season. This year, two examples would be the Redskins and Broncos, w...
Black Coaches YoY Delta ATS Record

NFL Betting Angles Fact or Fiction #6: Black Coaches

The "fade black coaches" angle is well-known across the internet. If you don't believe me, take a look here: https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum...

NFL Betting Angles Fact or Fiction #7: Motivation

Many bettors like to take motivation into account when making their NFL and college football plays. The most common angle involves betting on a tea...
NFL Betting Angles Fact or Fiction #9: Turnover Margin

NFL Betting Angles Fact or Fiction #9: Turnover Margin

In a big win for followers of the picks here, last week the Redskins managed to hold the Buccaneers to only three points, despite giving up 501 tot...

NFL Betting Angles Fact or Fiction - #10: Revenge

In celebration of the Chiefs covering last week, in a game I never would have bet without my "mid-season coach firing" angle, I have decided to sta...
European-Style Sportsbooks: Bad for Everyone

European-Style Sportsbooks: Bad for Everyone

European-style sportsbooks will kill the sports betting market.
Results-Oriented Thinking in NFL Handicapping

Results-Oriented Thinking in NFL Handicapping

In my past job I built econometric models for a bank. One of my bosses was not a true statistician (and neither am I) but had a great theory about ...

Do NFL Teams with the Lead Play Worse in the Second Half?

Anyone who bets NFL halftimes on a regular basis knows that teams with a big lead will be favored by slightly less than if the game is close or tie...

Running Back Injuries in NFL Handicapping

Le'Veon Bell's decision to sit out game 1 of the NFL season led to the inevitable discussion in gambling circles about the impact of running backs ...